题目：The long-term impact of Tangshan Earthquake on the local economy growth

报告人：赵国昌

时间：2017年5月12日13:30-15:00

地点：暨南大学中惠楼106B会议室

主办方：暨南大学经济与社会研究院

报告人简介：赵国昌，经济学博士，2013年毕业于澳大利亚国立大学，现为西南财经大学经济学副教授。主要研究领域包括劳动经济学、教育经济学、应用计量经济学等。已有多篇文章在Scandinavian Journal of Economics，China Economic Review，《经济学（季刊）》，《统计研究》等期刊上发表。

Abstract: Using the 1952-2000 provincial panel data of China and a counterfactual approach developed by Hsiao et al. (2012), we evaluate the long-term impact of Tangshan earthquake on the local economy growth. We find that Tangshan earthquake and the re-construction has a long-term, persistent and positive effect on the local economy growth. We also find that the amount of investment in Tangshan (and Hebei) after earthquake cannot totally explain the local economy growth. Finally, Tangshan (and Hebei) after earthquake only significantly affects the industrial sector, while has little or trivial effects on the primary and tertiary sectors –this is consistent with the historical documents. This study, on the one hand, reflects the creative destruction mechanism, on the other hand, also indicates the chance of the higher economy growth path.